First Runners in 2026
The Long Game
Will the 2026 freshman sires be given the patience their profiles clearly indicate they may need?
Words: Laura Joy
It takes an elite racehorse to retire for more than £50,000 and so it follows that there is only one qualifying sire this year, the imperious and almost unbeaten BAAEED, a six-time Group 1 winner from a mile to a mile and a quarter. A son of Sea The Stars out of the Listed-winning Kingmambo mare Aghareed, his Group 1 Coronation Stakes-winning full-brother Hukum is also at stud, but in Japan.
The jury is still deliberating based on his yearling sales, with many proving either exceptionally popular or friendless and not much in between. It is likely his best mares were those from owner-breeders though, so judgement should be reserved until 2027, when his progeny turn three. He didn’t reach the track until that age so while he has 118 yearlings on the ground, it’s unlikely we will see much from them next year. The middle bracket has a little more substance to it, with three very different sires slotting into the £/€20,000 - £/€50,000 region. Starting with Germany, the somewhat surprising 2021 Group 1 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe winner TORQUATOR TASSO, who retired for €20,000, is charged with carrying on the esteemed stud record of his much-missed sire Adlerflug, who died prematurely aged 17, the same year Torquator Tasso landed the coveted Paris prize.
Retired to Gestüt Auenquelle in his native Germany, he had a progressive profile, winning his second start over 1m3f at three before being campaigned exclusively between that trip and 1m4f for the rest of his career. He had a strong affinity for soft ground and showed it with his action. From the family of the late great Galileo, Urban Sea and this year’s Arc-winning sire Sea The Stars, he has the right profile for a sire who hails from the nation that champions middle-distance talent. He has 67 yearlings to represent him, though most are based in Germany or France, and are going to need time before their mettle can be tested.
Boasting a contrasting profile is the electric juvenile BLACKBEARD, who was retired before Torquator Tasso’s connections even thought about the racecourse. Coolmore’s dual Group 1-winning two-year-old will be remembered for his quirky pre-race antics as much as for his raw speed and precocity, but I suppose any publicity is good publicity. Being a son of the kingpin of juvenile class, No Nay Never, and duly fulfilling the prophecy by winning six of his eight starts, he won a 5f maiden in April on his debut and signed off his career in the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes. The Group 1 Prix Morny winner has 113 yearlings on the ground and the expectation and hope will be to see many of them race next year.
He retired for an opening fee of €25,000, as did the globe-trotting Group 1 scorer STATE OF REST, who has a profile that fits somewhere in between the last two named. A winner at two and Group 3 placed, he is by the sire of the moment Starspangledbanner and blossomed into a smart and versatile three- and four-year-old. State Of Rest won Group 1s in America (Saratoga Derby Invitational Stakes), Australia (Cox Plate), France (Prix Ganay) and Britain (Prince of Wales’s Stakes). Amassing just shy of £3m for his troubles, he sired 80 yearlings in his first year at Rathbarry Stud. His offspring should be well capable of showing some form next year, particularly if their grandsire has any say. They should progress nicely from two to three as well, never a bad thing.
The lower end of the market was flush in 2023, with a number of decent racehorses joining the stallion ranks and retiring for less than £/€20,000. Going off the strength of his results at the yearling sales, it makes sense to start with the Group 1 Haydock Sprint Cup winner MINZAAL, who also counts the Group 2 Gimcrack Stakes amongst his four wins. He only once failed to show in 11 starts, when beaten by fellow first-crop sire Naval Crown in the Group 1 Platinum Jubilee Stakes.
From the first crop of the record-breaking two-year-old sire Mehmas, Minzaal’s progression from two to three and four is one of his key strengths. His yearlings sold like hot cakes and the word has been encouraging, with a number of breeders going back to the well after seeing his first foals. Available for €12,500 after starting out at €15,000, the Derrinstown Stud resident is certain to attract a few gamblers this year with 114 yearlings on the ground and a genuine chance of securing champion first-crop sire honours for Shadwell.
NAVAL CROWN retired for the same fee but was available for €9,000 in 2025. His sire, Dubawi is creating quite the dynasty with his sons at stud and this smart sprinter out of a Dansili mare bids to join the list with 75 yearlings on the ground. He earned black type as a maiden when third in the Listed Pat Eddery Stakes at Ascot in July, and though he struck in Listed company over a mile at Meydan at three, it was a drop back in trip to 6f that secured his finest moment on a racecourse in said Platinum Jubilee. A diverse sort, he was fourth in the Group One 2000 Guineas and won the Group 2 Al Fahidi Fort over 7f. He showed solid form at two but reached his peak as a four-year-old so let’s not be hasty in judging his first juveniles.
He was not the only sprinting son of Dubawi to retire in 2023, with Compas Stallions’ DUBAWI LEGEND also representing Darley’s stalwart.
A Group 3 winner at three, he was Group 1-placed as a juvenile and the suspicion is he never achieved his full potential. Nobody would begrudge the hardworking and likeable Micheál Orlandi success with his fledgling operation and there are 47 yearlings bred from an opening fee of €6,500 there to provide it.
Another respected operation with a debut sire and from the same line is Ballylinch Stud, the operation responsible for potentially one of the first sons of Dubawi to catch the eye, New Bay. His own Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes winner, BAYSIDE BOY retired for €15,000 in 2023 to Co Kilkenny and was typically well-supported by the outfit and their partners. A winner of the Group 2 Champagne Stakes as a juvenile, he was also twice Group 1-placed at two before getting the job done at Ascot at three. He showed most of his best form in the Autumn, so expect similar from his 97 first two-year-olds next year.
State Of Rest
Another British Champions Day victor to join the stallion ranks in 2023 was Guy Pariente’s homebred SEALIWAY, who retired to Haras de Beaumont in France for €12,000. The Group 1 Champion Stakes winner would likely have commanded a higher fee had he retired there and then but endured a luckless four-year-old campaign, coming within three quarters of a length of adding a third career Group 1, as he also landed the Group 1 Prix Jean-Luc Lagardère as a juvenile. The son of Galiway thrived with soft conditions underfoot and was winning by May at two, so perhaps early action in the spring is possible, with progression from two to three expected from his 94 yearlings.
If ever there was a people’s horse since the turn of the century it was STRADIVARIUS. The charismatic chestnut lit up the racecourse for six seasons between 2017 and 2022 and his owner-breeder Bjorn Nielsen’s staunch defence of his champion’s future as a stallion only adds intrigue to the debut of his 80-strong first crop. Tough, sound, progressive and consistent, with an abundance of stamina and class, it’s hard to see why he needed defending. The precocious fad we currently live in ensures he did though, but if the son of Sea The Stars’s first yearling sales are anything to go by, a number of shrewd and reputable people have given him a chance. One such person, bloodstock agent Jeremy Brummitt, has been successfully exploiting value in the middle-distance market for a number of years. He signed for his most expensive offspring, a €140,000 colt at BBAG’s Premier Yearling Sale for Middleham Park Racing.
Almost matching the Strad’s longevity is SPACE TRAVELLER, who raced for five seasons. A winner of his first two starts at two, the son of Bated Breath struck in the Group 3 Jersey Stakes and in Group 2 company before his three-year-old campaign had ended. His form dipped a little thereafter, though he did come within a whisker of landing an elusive Group 1 on his final start when beaten a head in the Frank E Kilroe Mile Stakes. He has been well supported with 115 yearlings on the ground and they should have an impact next year whilst still progressing well beyond their juvenile season.
At the other end of the spectrum are a trio that wasted no time in showing their hand at two and anything less than a rapid start will be considered a disappointment. PERFECT POWER counts the Group 2 Norfolk Stakes, Group 1 Prix Morny and Group 1 Middle Park Stakes amongst his impressive haul at two. Campaigned with the Guineas in mind at three, he won the Group 3 Greenham Stakes well before finding 1m a step too far at Newmarket. Dropping back down to sprinting, he won the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup to ensure he was a Group 1 winner in both seasons he raced. His half-brother by Mehmas, Wise Approach, has delivered a nice pedigree update too in the interim when winning this year’s Middle Park, so those of a courageous disposition could have done worse than backing the classy sprinter at £7,500 this year, half of his initial opening fee.
Also carrying the weight of expectation are the Group 2 July Stakes winner PERSIAN FORCE (€10,000) and the Group 2 Flying Childers Stakes winner CATURRA (£6,500). Both by Mehmas, the former won the Brocklesby and you’d have to imagine his connections at Amo Racing will be hoping they can repeat the feat with one of his 99 soldiers. Caturra likewise was not hanging around, making his debut in April before winning impressively in May next time. The Overbury Stud resident has 68 yearlings on the ground.
A select but diverse group to entertain us from next March, purists will have everything crossed for the Sea The Stars pair whilst many others will have honed in on the record breaker Mehmas and his sons. Or perhaps Dubawi is on the cusp of adding another string to his staggering bow as a sire of sires.
To take a line from one of my favourite TV shows Ted Lasso, be curious, not judgemental. At least not until many of these have turned three!
* Crop figures as of Weatherby’s Return Of Mares unless provided by relevant stud
Bayside Boy

